VogelHood is a Washington D.C.-based quantitative, policy analytics firm that specializes in offering analysis of regulatory and legislative policies that impact the S&P 500.
What we do
Our understanding of politics, process, and political stakeholders allows us to provide critical insight into the policy landscape. Our firm combines seasoned policy expertise, quantitative analytical tools, government pattern analysis, and a comprehensive network of policy professionals to help Fortune 500 companies navigate policy and regulatory risk.
Unlike the antiquated approaches to political intelligence that rely on subjective evidence, we use proprietary, data-driven methodologies to predict outcomes. Our specialty is in determining regulatory approval in public M&A and making high conviction calls on companies and sectors as they relate to government. VogelHood is the only Washington independent research firm on the Bloomberg Tradebook platform.
“Washington’s political-intelligence business is going through a wrenching transformation in the face of heightened legal and regulatory scrutiny, including insider-trading probes. VogelHood Research, [makes] all its predictions based on … publicly available information…”
Divestiture Analysis, Alimentation Couche-Tard (ACT) and CST Brands, Inc. (CST)
Overview On August 22nd, 2016 CST Brands, Inc. (CST) announced that its Board of Directors approved a merger agreement with Alimentation Couche-Tard (ACT) under which Couche-Tard will acquire all the shares of CST for a total enterprise value of approximately $4.4 billion. VogelHood believes that the ACT/CST merger will receive receive regulatory approval, with conditions….Learn more
Public M&A: RAD/WBA:
MERGERANX™ Score Increases, Store Count Accurately Predicted
VOGELHOOD ACCURATELY PREDICTS STORE DIVESTITURE COUNT NEARLY A YEAR IN ADVANCE; MERGERANX™ SCORE INCREASES IN Q1 2017 Overview On October 27, 2015, Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) announced its plan to buy its rival Rite Aid (RAD) for $17.2 billion. VogelHood’s HHI™ analysis suggests the deal falls into Level 2 (171-500 HHI change) category, indicating moderate…Learn more
TWX/T, Mounting Political Pressure From Regulators
TWX/T, Mounting Political Pressure From Regulators VogelHood Group believes that a merger between AT&T and Time Warner will be challenged by at least one regulator. A merger of this nature requires regulatory approval from both the Department of Justice (DoJ) Antitrust Division and the Federal Communications Commission (FCC). The DoJ is the lesser hurdle of…Learn more
VogelHood in the news
EURONET: Euronet Worldwide’s Statement on MoneyGramApril 17, 2017
Euronet Worldwide’s Statement on MoneyGram LEAWOOD, Kan., April 17, 2017 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Euronet Worldwide, Inc. (“Euronet” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ:EEFT), a leading electronics payments provider, today acknowledges it submitted a binding offer to acquire MoneyGram International, Inc. (“MoneyGram”) (NASDAQ:MGI) to MoneyGram’s Board of Directors on April 14, 2017. On April 16, 2017, MoneyGram announced…Learn more
BUSINESS INSIDER: Wall Street should bet on Trump killing Chinese deals
Wall Street should bet on Trump killing Chinese deals Samir N. Kapadia, VogelHood Group Apr. 12, 2017 In his first U.S.-China summit, President Donald Trump took a significant step toward making good on campaign promises aimed at resetting a broken relationship between the world’s two largest economies. For Trump voters on Main Street, the tone…Learn more