VogelHood is a Washington D.C.-based quantitative, policy analytics firm that specializes in offering analysis of regulatory and legislative policies that impact the S&P 500.
What we do
Our understanding of politics, process, and political stakeholders allows us to provide critical insight into the policy landscape. Our firm combines seasoned policy expertise, quantitative analytical tools, government pattern analysis, and a comprehensive network of policy professionals to help Fortune 500 companies navigate policy and regulatory risk.
Unlike the antiquated approaches to political intelligence that rely on subjective evidence, we use proprietary, data-driven methodologies to predict outcomes. Our specialty is in determining regulatory approval in public M&A and making high conviction calls on companies and sectors as they relate to government. VogelHood is the only Washington independent research firm on the Bloomberg Tradebook platform.
“Washington’s political-intelligence business is going through a wrenching transformation in the face of heightened legal and regulatory scrutiny, including insider-trading probes. VogelHood Research, [makes] all its predictions based on … publicly available information…”
TWX/T, Mounting Political Pressure From Regulators
TWX/T, Mounting Political Pressure From Regulators VogelHood Group believes that a merger between AT&T and Time Warner will be challenged by at least one regulator. A merger of this nature requires regulatory approval from both the Department of Justice (DoJ) Antitrust Division and the Federal Communications Commission (FCC). The DoJ is the lesser hurdle of…Learn more
Walgreens (WBA) and Rite Aid (RAD)
WALGREENS & RITE AID UPDATE: FTC EXPECTED TO APPROVE TRANSACTION; NEW DEVELOPMENTS IN POLITICAL ENGAGEMENT There are four reasons for our shift in position; (1) After United Health and Catamaran, VogelHood believes that the FTC would want more PBM competition. Post-merger, the combined entity can build out RAD’s EnvisionRX into a player that could alleviate…Learn more
Agricultural Chemicals (DOW/DD, BAYN/MON, ChemChina/SYT)
POLITICAL OPPOSITION TO AGRI-CHEM DEALS NOT MEANINGFUL TO DATE; DEAL ON TRACK TO GAIN REGULATORY APPROVAL As with most deals of this magnitude (DOW/DD, BAYN/MON, ChemChina/SYT), there has been expected and routine political pushback from trade associations and some members of Congress, specifically regarding the agriculture chemicals mergers; however, we do believe that the risk…Learn more
VogelHood in the news
The Wall Street Journal: The Rust Belt Is Right to Blame ObamaDecember 19, 2016
The Rust Belt Is Right to Blame Obama The risk that regulators pose to business is up 79% from 2010—a burden that falls heavy on industry. By CLARK S. JUDGE Updated Dec. 18, 2016 5:42 p.m. ET Donald Trump hasn’t wasted time moving to revive America’s economic growth, with an emphasis on manufacturing. Critics may…Learn more
Dow Jones: Telecoms Tick Up As Treasury Rates FallNovember 30, 2016
Telecoms Tick Up As Treasury Rates Fall – Telecoms Roundup November 28, 2016, 05:01:00 PM EDT By Dow Jones Business News Shares of telecommunications companies rose as an upward march in Treasury rates paused. AT&T unveiled a streaming video service called DirecTV Now. Time Warner’s $85 billion deal to merge with AT&T is likely to…Learn more